Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.468484 3.682806 3.911012 4.173394 4.468400 4.791836 5.176040
2024-11-03 3.259602 3.559983 3.896698 4.306763 4.799315 5.381014 6.134550
2024-11-10 3.131524 3.504399 3.941787 4.503546 5.223166 6.141014 7.450642
2024-11-17 2.898096 3.300073 3.787425 4.439024 5.317322 6.512033 8.371636
2024-11-24 2.684174 3.099678 3.617229 4.333062 5.341917 6.797810 9.266296
2024-12-01 2.521849 2.950110 3.497166 4.278773 5.430077 7.196745 10.491576
2024-12-08 2.386928 2.824998 3.397591 4.240900 5.537292 7.654340 12.036667
2024-12-15 2.311750 2.772105 3.389773 4.332304 5.858151 8.556207 15.023872
2024-12-22 2.160961 2.607552 3.214357 4.156620 5.722582 8.611066 16.150852
2024-12-29 2.089497 2.546546 3.180247 4.192741 5.951123 9.443768 20.186119
2025-01-05 2.017514 2.479990 3.132592 4.202027 6.135759 10.262175 25.476276
2025-01-12 1.926566 2.381396 3.030623 4.112567 6.123427 10.639588 29.921605
2025-01-19 1.814140 2.255733 2.893866 3.976904 6.052107 10.996637 36.608569
2025-01-26 1.769716 2.225583 2.900196 4.087168 6.507824 13.074494 72.960903
2025-02-02 1.739459 2.214226 2.935150 4.255671 7.153250 16.475051 479.393791
2025-02-09 1.663917 2.130494 2.847933 4.188701 7.244867 18.090944 NaN
2025-02-16 1.588295 2.042617 2.747863 4.086232 7.229474 19.344058 NaN
2025-02-23 1.527802 1.974794 2.676327 4.031866 7.332024 21.483712 NaN
2025-03-02 1.475025 1.916154 2.616099 3.993403 7.474048 24.315144 NaN
2025-03-09 1.445588 1.892263 2.612963 4.071877 7.987883 31.652935 NaN
2025-03-16 1.380659 1.809228 2.502371 3.911267 7.727032 31.644280 NaN
2025-03-23 1.349553 1.778586 2.481317 3.941365 8.093936 40.533675 NaN
2025-03-30 1.317067 1.744098 2.451061 3.947762 8.393463 52.238850 NaN